Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 113.626935 125.726579 138.164954 151.879833 166.550397 181.745907 198.647513
2025-03-09 91.477850 109.062630 128.080084 150.055783 174.628774 201.142055 231.791439
2025-03-16 76.172883 97.442031 121.548311 150.594531 184.341110 222.018827 266.963567
2025-03-23 66.880875 91.200265 119.938654 155.838381 198.907198 248.354977 308.837446
2025-03-30 58.494556 84.812181 117.161300 158.930743 210.499632 271.170830 346.995882
2025-04-06 50.503225 77.826752 112.728720 159.233359 218.197762 289.129941 379.503457
2025-04-13 44.070696 72.027599 109.065128 159.870463 225.859024 306.826039 411.740325
2025-04-20 40.163689 69.157076 108.810557 164.569701 238.468442 330.630948 451.703531
2025-04-27 36.410681 66.026564 107.812632 167.982239 249.255538 352.161281 489.063810
2025-05-04 33.587184 63.913285 107.941449 172.707978 261.674666 375.823181 529.351695
2025-05-11 30.672813 61.309914 107.087034 175.861830 271.894454 396.689504 566.296742
2025-05-18 25.775246 54.956104 100.206417 170.026746 269.525530 400.865228 581.645535
2025-05-25 22.072564 50.195183 95.420399 167.006183 270.994565 410.270177 604.220575
2025-06-01 19.537533 47.146779 93.031318 167.319494 277.048919 425.862677 635.163983
2025-06-08 17.585349 44.904178 91.726884 169.122461 285.181460 444.351981 670.204171
2025-06-15 16.674947 44.520347 93.401782 175.490441 299.998238 472.192766 718.133079
2025-06-22 15.385715 43.222416 93.423169 179.220599 310.990245 494.896490 759.434066
2025-06-29 13.714384 40.909946 91.512034 179.743999 317.173755 510.941633 791.866551
2025-07-06 12.265772 38.851857 89.863123 180.542662 323.691371 527.471015 825.099300
2025-07-13 11.557945 38.333057 90.911634 185.727108 336.886641 553.582754 871.774171
2025-07-20 10.724159 37.403854 91.121585 189.480178 347.924667 576.736138 914.596036
2025-07-27 10.132522 36.963415 92.186838 194.649534 361.185334 603.193599 962.238833
2025-08-03 9.390465 36.042049 92.258927 198.095684 371.799435 625.946089 1004.936687